Tyler Samaniego
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Samaniego has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.463 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 36th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (87th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
90 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.8%)
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| Tyler Samaniego | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .497 | .527 | 36th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 44th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 21% | 22% | 34th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Tyler Samaniego mixes his sinker (41%) and four-seam fastball (27%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 3.7 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 40 bases vs a replacement arm's 47 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.5 bases saved vs league average, across 271 pitches — 0.6 per 100.
His cutter and changeup aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his four-seam fastball tilts 15 points more toward righties.
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Tyler Samaniego's pitch movement, 2026
His Sweeper has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His cutter and changeup aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.027 to +0.045
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.435 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.414 to 0.458, based on 41 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.590 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.590) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.472 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.451 to 0.494, based on 49 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.350 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.350) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Tyler Samaniego.
over 63 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.66 · WHIP 1.48 · BABIP against 0.339 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs TigersMay 6, 2026score only
7 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs OriolesJun 2, 2026score only
9 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.6
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs TwinsApr 13, 2026score only
6 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs YankeesApr 23, 2026score only
6 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs BrewersApr 8, 2026score only
4 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +1.1