Jalen Beeks
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Beeks has been below average at limiting bases
The simulator expects him to allow 0.464 bases per batter faced, better than 31% of qualified pitchers. His weakest skill is limiting home runs (5th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 113 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Jalen Beeks.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, but gets hit hard” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Jalen Beeks | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .653 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 63rd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 21% | 22% | 35th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Jalen Beeks leans on his four-seam fastball (51% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 1.5 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 64 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 59 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He cost 5.1 bases against league average across 370 pitches, or 1.4 per 100 pitches.
His cutter isn't in the charts below, because only 37 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Jalen Beeks's pitch movement, 2026
His Changeup has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His cutter isn't in these charts, because only 37 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles lefty bats better than righty bats, by 0.036 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.028 to +0.045
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.449 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.427 to 0.470, based on 51 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.670 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs LHB (0.670) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.485 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.464 to 0.506, based on 62 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.462 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One out behind him came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
3 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Jalen Beeks deserved.
Both bars count 84 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 3.81 · WHIP 1.38 · BABIP against 0.282 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs TigersMay 1, 2026score only
6 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs CubsMay 9, 2026score only
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs MarinersApr 19, 2026score only
3 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs AthleticsApr 25, 2026score only
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs PhilliesMar 26, 2026score only
5 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jalen Beeks
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is up, his BB% is down, his Barrel% against is up, his GB% against is down, his FB% against is down and his Pull% against is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.