MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rangers @ Phillies, 03/26/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Mar 26, 2026
Rangers
3
Final
Game 823486
Phillies
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rangers
25%
· tied 18%
·
Phillies
57%
Phillies earned it
Phillies deserved to win and did, beating Rangers 5–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.