Xzavion Curry
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Curry has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.457 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 44th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (13th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
67 batters faced · data through 2026-08-23.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Xzavion Curry mixes his four-seam fastball (33%) and slider (30%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 5.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 28 bases vs a replacement arm's 34 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
6.2 bases saved vs league average, across 156 pitches — 4.0 per 100.
Only his four-seam fastball and slider are in the charts below — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
Rarely used: forkball, cutter (2%)
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Mix by batter side
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Xzavion Curry's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. Only his four-seam fastball and slider are in these charts — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.484 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.461 to 0.506, based on 42 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.427 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.459 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.444 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.421 to 0.466, based on 26 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.407 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.441 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.407) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Xzavion Curry.
over 50 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.81 · WHIP 1.31 · BABIP against 0.250 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs PhilliesJul 18, 2026
8 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +3.3
- vs PiratesAug 8, 2026
14 BF · 4 K, 4 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.3
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs MarlinsJul 31, 2026
19 BF · 2 K, 6 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 9.4
- Above replacement
- +1.2
- vs Red SoxJul 10, 2026
1 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +0.5
- vs BrewersJul 20, 2026
11 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 2 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 5.2
- Above replacement
- +0.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Xzavion Curry
HR allowed% down, BB% up, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, FB% against down, Pull% against up vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.