Brenan Hanifee
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Hanifee is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.476 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 18th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (6th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
93 batters faced · data through 2026-09-01.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (27.5%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (30.5%)
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| Brenan Hanifee | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .546 | .527 | 18th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 67th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 18% | 22% | 6th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Brenan Hanifee leans on his sinker (61% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 1.0 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 49 bases vs a replacement arm's 48 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
2.4 bases cost vs league average, across 269 pitches — 0.9 per 100.
His four-seam fastball and changeup aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Brenan Hanifee's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His four-seam fastball and changeup aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.554 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.532 to 0.575, based on 23 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.606 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.452 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.606) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.513 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.491 to 0.533, based on 71 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.485 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.433 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Brenan Hanifee.
over 74 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.06 · WHIP 1.45 · BABIP against 0.275 (Lg median 0.288)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RangersMay 3, 2026score only
6 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs Red SoxMay 5, 2026score only
11 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.7
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs RoyalsMay 10, 2026score only
4 BF · 0 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs RangersMay 1, 2026score only
4 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs Blue JaysMay 15, 2026score only
4 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Brenan Hanifee
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.