← All games
May 15, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Blue Jays 11% · tied 14% · Tigers 75%
Tigers earned it
Tigers deserved to win and did, beating Blue Jays 3–2.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.