Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Pounds the zone, but too much of it gets hit hard.
The simulator expects 0.553 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 4th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (89th percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (1st percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Carlos Carrasco mixes his changeup (31%) and sinker (27%). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the changeup has come closest.
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.
allowed 41 bases vs a replacement arm's 37 over the same batters faced
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.556 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.532 to 0.579, based on 45 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.521 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.422 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.515 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.491 to 0.539, based on 28 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.649 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.406 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.649) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity and direction usually earn. Comparing those earned bases with the bases batters were actually credited shows whether his results have been lucky, unlucky, or fair.
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Carlos Carrasco.
over 61 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
ERA 5.94 · WHIP 1.44 · BABIP against 0.310 (lg 0.288)
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
17 BF · 2 K, 4 H, 1 HBP
17 BF · 2 K, 5 H, 1 HR
5 BF · 1 K, 1 H
3 BF · 1 K
4 BF · 0 K, 1 HBP
xEB/PA up, HR allowed% down, BB% down, K% down, Barrel% against down, GB% against up, FB% against down, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.
