Gavin Hollowell
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Hollowell allows more bases than most pitchers
The simulator expects him to allow 0.474 bases per batter faced, better than 19% of qualified pitchers. His weakest skill is limiting walks (15th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 64 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Gavin Hollowell mixes his four-seam fastball (36%) and sweeper (33%). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 3.4 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 30 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 33 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He cost 1.1 bases against league average across 236 pitches, or 0.5 per 100 pitches.
His changeup isn't in the charts below, because only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Gavin Hollowell's pitch movement, 2026
His Sinker has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
How to read this chart
By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His changeup isn't in these charts, because only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.035 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.513 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.491 to 0.535, based on 25 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.534 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.471 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.450 to 0.494, based on 40 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.485 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the pull side.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
2 outs behind him came on balls the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
One hit off him had less than a 20% chance of being a hit.
How to read this chart
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs RedsJul 12, 2026
6 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs TigersJul 22, 2026score only
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.2
- vs CardinalsJul 30, 2026
4 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +1.2
- vs PadresJun 29, 2026
5 BF · 2 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.5
- Above replacement
- +1.1
- vs TwinsJul 17, 2026
2 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Gavin Hollowell
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is up, his BB% is down and his K% is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.