Gavin Hollowell
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Hollowell is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.476 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 19th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Command (14th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
62 batters faced · data through 2026-08-25.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Gavin Hollowell mixes his four-seam fastball (36%) and sweeper (33%). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 3.4 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 30 bases vs a replacement arm's 32 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
0.9 bases cost vs league average, across 230 pitches — 0.4 per 100.
His changeup isn't in the charts below — only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Gavin Hollowell's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His changeup isn't in these charts — only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.502 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.480 to 0.525, based on 24 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.547 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.453 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.547) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.462 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.439 to 0.484, based on 39 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.472 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.437 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RedsJul 12, 2026
6 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs TigersJul 22, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.2
- vs CardinalsJul 30, 2026
4 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +1.1
- vs PadresJun 29, 2026
5 BF · 2 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.5
- Above replacement
- +1.1
- vs TwinsJul 17, 2026
2 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Gavin Hollowell
HR allowed% up, BB% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.