Skip to main content
← All games

Tigers at Cubs · Jul 22, 2026

Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Tigers 79% · tied 12% · Cubs 9%

Tigers earned it

Tigers deserved to win and did, beating Cubs 5-1.

  • This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
  • The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.