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Jared Shuster

2026
Cardinals· LHP · throws L· 9.0 IP· 9.00 ERA· 1.89 WHIP· 44 batters faced

Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
Fbetter than 20% of qualified pitchers at limiting bases
RelieverStill Searching

Below league average across the board.

Shuster allows more bases than most pitchers

The simulator expects him to allow 0.474 bases per batter faced, better than 20% of qualified pitchers. His weakest skill is getting strikeouts (10th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.

His grade rests on 44 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles compare him with 517 qualified pitchers, those with 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers together. He has not reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.

Ronel BlancoAstrosGavin HollowellCubsNick MearsRoyalsClayton BeeterNationals

Pitcher type

This map shows what kind of pitcher he is, next to the league.

Arsenal

These cards show what he throws and what each pitch does.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

Four-Seam Fastball
30%
93.4 mph · LHP median 93.5
—
Changeup
21%
84.9 mph · LHP median 85.1
—
Slider
21%
84.5 mph · LHP median 85.6
—
Cutter
17%
88.6 mph · LHP median 88.0
—
Sinker
13%
92.0 mph · LHP median 92.9
—

The charts below show 2025, because too few of his 2026 pitches were tracked to chart.

How to read this chart
Each row is a pitch he throws at least 3% of the time, from pitch tracking in the regular season. The bar is how often he throws it, then its average velocity and its whiff rate, the share of swings that miss. Beside the velocity and the whiff rate is the median for that pitch, among pitchers of his hand for velocity and across the league for whiffs. More whiffs are better for a pitcher, while usage and velocity describe how he pitches.

Jared Shuster's pitch movement, 2025

His Changeup and Slider have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.

The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2025, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.

Jared Shuster's pitch movement, 20250612061218in← glove sidearm side →more risemore drop
ChangeupCH
Rise 1.3 in
−3.3 vs Lg median
Break 13.8 in
−0.8 vs Lg median
Vs. early season changed
Four-Seam FastballFF
Rise 13.5 in
−2.4 vs Lg median
Break 12.4 in
+4.7 vs Lg median
Vs. early season steady
SliderSL
Rise 6.5 in
+4.6 vs Lg median
Break −1.1 in
+2.9 vs Lg median
Vs. early season changed
Early season → nowLg medianNormal wobble around the dot
How to read this chart
Each dot is a pitch's current break in inches, averaged over his latest outings. Higher is more rise and further right is more arm-side break, and neither is better or worse. The faint trail runs from his early-season outings to the dot, and the soft halo shows how far normal noise can move it. League median is the small hollow ring, and a pitch marked * has none because too few pitchers throw it. The “changed” verdict removes a league-wide drift that the trail still shows, so a long trail can read as steady. The by-appearance chart below has the exact dates. More on the About page

By appearance

These charts follow his velocity, movement and mix from outing to outing.

These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. These charts show 2025, because too few of his 2026 pitches were tracked to chart.

Platoon splits

This section splits his results against lefties and righties.

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

He handles lefty bats better than righty bats, by 0.038 EB/PA allowed.

50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.047

vs LHB20 PA0.468

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.468 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.445 to 0.491, based on 20 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.462 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.

vs RHB24 PA0.506

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.506 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.484 to 0.528, based on 24 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.511 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.

0.4240.4530.4820.5110.539
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

His split is about typical for a lefty arm (median 0.038). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

How to read this chart
  • Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
  • The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
  • The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
  • The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
  • Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page

Contact allowed

These cards show what hitters do when they make contact.

Batters go up the middle off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.

Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Every ball hit off Jared Shuster this season is drawn where it landed.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Joey OrtizHome run
105 mph · 26° · worth 3.6 bases
07/07 vs Brewers
vs Brice TurangDouble
104 mph · 18° · worth 1.6 bases
07/07 vs Brewers
vs Freddie FreemanDouble
81 mph · 34° · worth 1.4 bases
05/03 vs Dodgers
vs Trevor StoryDouble
97 mph · 1° · worth 1.2 bases
04/12 vs Red Sox
vs Gary SánchezSingle
99 mph · 19° · worth 0.9 bases
07/07 vs Brewers

Luck check

How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Best games

These are his biggest outings this season.

Best games

These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Jared Shuster

Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is up, his BB% is up and his K% is down.

Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.