MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Red Sox @ Cardinals, 04/11/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 11, 2026
Red Sox
7
Final
Game 823074
Cardinals
1
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Red Sox
80%
· tied 8%
·
Cardinals
11%
Red Sox earned it
Red Sox deserved to win and did, beating Cardinals 7–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.