Mark Manfredi
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Manfredi sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.455 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 48th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (74th percentile). The soft spot is Command (17th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
75 batters faced · data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Mark Manfredi leans on his four-seam fastball (60% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 2.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 31 bases vs a replacement arm's 39 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
3.1 bases saved vs league average, across 261 pitches — 1.2 per 100.
Only his four-seam fastball and slider are in the charts below — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his slider tilts 17 points more toward righties.
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Mark Manfredi's pitch movement, 2026
His Four-Seam Fastball and Slider have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. Only his four-seam fastball and slider are in these charts — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.456 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.432 to 0.477, based on 37 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.435 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.494 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.472 to 0.515, based on 38 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.396 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.396) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Mark Manfredi.
over 50 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.06 · WHIP 1.36 · BABIP against 0.286 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs CardinalsSep 4, 2026
6 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs White SoxSep 27, 2026
7 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs DodgersAug 19, 2026
6 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.5
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs YankeesSep 8, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs CardinalsSep 6, 2026
4 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +1.5