Robert Garcia
2026Grade
A profile still coming into focus
Not enough modeled data yet to judge his run prevention with confidence.
43 batters faced · data through 2026-09-12.
How to read this chart
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Robert Garcia mixes his four-seam fastball (44%) and changeup (33%). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 5.6 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 13 bases vs a replacement arm's 22 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
6.0 bases saved vs league average, across 144 pitches — 4.2 per 100.
His slider isn't in the charts below — only 42 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his four-seam fastball tilts 21 points more toward lefties.
How to read this chart
Robert Garcia's pitch movement, 2026
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His slider isn't in these charts — only 42 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.028 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.441 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.418 to 0.463, based on 19 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.122 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.457 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.122) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.479 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.456 to 0.500, based on 24 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.476 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.037). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AthleticsApr 14, 2026score only
6 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs D-backsSep 12, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs MarinersSep 10, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs MarinersApr 6, 2026score only
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs D-backsSep 13, 2026
4 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +1.3
Trends
Multi-season trends · Robert Garcia
HR allowed% down, BB% up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.