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Luis Morales

2026
Athletics· RHP · throws R· 16.0 IP· 13.50 ERA· 2.56 WHIP· 90 BF

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Fbetter than 1% of pitchers at limiting bases
StarterStill Searching

Below league average across the board.

Morales is getting hit harder than most pitchers

The simulator expects 0.509 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 1st percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (1st percentile).

90 batters faced · data through 2026-09-08.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles vs. 490 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Justin LawrenceNationalsLuis GilYankeesTony SantillanRedsRyan FeltnerRockies

Pitcher type

What kind of pitcher he is, next to the league

Pitcher type

Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.

League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.6%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (30.7%)

How to read this chart
Two skills separate pitching styles: finishing hitters without free passes (strikeout rate minus walk rate) and keeping the contact they do allow soft (hard-hit rate against). Every dot is a qualified pitcher this season; dot size tracks batters faced. Click any dot to open that pitcher's page.
 Luis MoralesLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(lower = better).738.5281st
Walk rate(lower = better)13%9%8th
Strikeout rate(higher = better)19%22%22nd

100th percentile = best in MLB.

Arsenal

What he throws, and what it does

Luis Morales leans on his four-seam fastball (46% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the four-seam fastball has come closest, and his four-seam fastball runs 2.0 mph above the league norm.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

−9 bases worse than a replacement arm this season

allowed 58 bases vs a replacement arm's 48 over the same batters faced

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

19.2 bases cost vs league average, across 251 pitches — 7.6 per 100.

Four-Seam Fastball
46%
97.2 mph · RHP median 95.2
10% whiffs · Lg median 21%
cost 6.1 per 1009.8 total
Slider
26%
85.8 mph · RHP median 86.9
30% whiffs · Lg median 33%
cost 10.2 per 1009.4 total
Sinker
not charted
11%
96.2 mph · RHP median 94.7
—
—
Changeup
not charted
10%
88.7 mph · RHP median 87.1
—
—
Sweeper
not charted
8%
81.6 mph · RHP median 83.5
—
—

Only his four-seam fastball and slider are in the charts below — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

How to read this chart
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.

Mix by batter side

Four-Seam Fastball
47% vs LHH · RHP median 40%
45% vs RHH · RHP median 33%
Slider
21% vs LHH · RHP median 20%
31% vs RHH · RHP median 30%
How to read this chart
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Medians are among right-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time — between 207 and 367 of them, depending on the pitch. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

By appearance

How the stuff has held up outing to outing

One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. Only his four-seam fastball and slider are in these charts — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049

vs LHB37 PA0.528

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.528 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.506 to 0.549, based on 37 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.720 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.

Raw vs LHB rate (0.720) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

vs RHB53 PA0.486

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.486 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.465 to 0.508, based on 53 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.644 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.437 EB/PA.

Raw vs RHB rate (0.644) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

0.4240.4580.4930.5280.562
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
  • These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.

Contact allowed

What hitters do when they connect

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Luis Morales landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Kazuma OkamotoHome run
EV 110 mph · LA 25° · EB 3.6
03/29 vs Blue Jays
vs Jesús SánchezHome run
EV 109 mph · LA 24° · EB 3.5
03/29 vs Blue Jays
vs Kyle ManzardoHome run
EV 99 mph · LA 30° · EB 3.1
05/02 vs Guardians
vs Ben MalgeriHome run
EV 94 mph · LA 30° · EB 3.1
07/31 vs Tigers
vs Dillon DinglerHome run
EV 100 mph · LA 33° · EB 2.6
07/31 vs Tigers

Luck check

Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.

vs George SpringerOutRobbed
EV 109 mph · LA 21° · EB 2.1
03/29 vs Blue Jays

Burned 5 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Christian VázquezDoubleCheap hit
EV 87 mph · LA 45° · EB 0.0 · xBA .004
04/04 vs Astros
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Earned vs. actual

Batters have been credited about 8 more bases than their contact off Luis Morales earned — his results have run unlucky so far.

Earned off his contact allowed46
Actually credited to batters54

over 62 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides

How to read this chart
Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity and direction usually earn. Comparing those earned bases with the bases batters were actually credited shows whether his results have been lucky, unlucky, or fair.

ERA 13.50 · WHIP 2.56 · BABIP against 0.364 (Lg median 0.288)

Times through order

What happens the third time they see him

Best games

His biggest outings this year

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Luis Morales

HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against up, FB% against down, Pull% against up vs last season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.