Pounds the zone, but too much of it gets hit hard.
Gil is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.591 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 1st percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (2nd percentile).
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 424 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.
85 batters faced · data through 2026-07-29.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Two skills separate pitching styles: finishing hitters without free passes (strikeout rate minus walk rate, right = better) and keeping the contact they do allow soft (hard-hit rate against, up = better).
Every dot is a qualified pitcher this season; dot size tracks batters faced. Click any dot to open that pitcher's page.
Dashed lines mark the league median on each skill.
Luis Gil
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(fewer = better)
.631
.529
1st
Walk rate(fewer = better)
13%
9%
5th
Strikeout rate(higher = better)
14%
22%
2nd
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
What he throws, and what it does
Luis Gil leans on his four-seam fastball (45% of pitches). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 0.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.
▲ +1 bases better than a replacement arm this season
allowed 50 bases vs a replacement arm's 51 over the same batters faced
Results
All pitches
cost 3.9 per 10011.3 cost across 292
replacement
Four-Seam Fastball
45%↓ −5 pts vs '25
95.0 mph · lg 95.1↓ −0.3 mph vs '25
3% whiffs · lg 18%
cost 4.4 per 1006.7 cost across 152
Slider
21%↓ −5 pts vs '25
85.4 mph · lg 86.9↓ −1.3 mph vs '25
26% whiffs · lg 32%
cost 7.3 per 1005.2 cost across 71
Changeup
21%↓ −3 pts vs '25
89.8 mph · lg 87.2↓ −1.0 mph vs '25
—
saved 0.9 per 1000.6 saved across 69
Sinker
13%
94.5 mph · lg 94.8
—
—
Mix by batter side
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.
Four-Seam Fastball
56% vs LHH
35% vs RHH
Slider
18% vs LHH
25% vs RHH
Changeup
22% vs LHH
19% vs RHH
By appearance
How the stuff has held up outing to outing
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
How he fares against lefties and righties
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 50% probable range. Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
Gray tick (marked “lg”) = league median vs that side; the faint gray band behind it spans the middle half of the league (25th–75th percentile).
Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
vs LHB39 PA0.621
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.621 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.597 to 0.643, based on 39 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.403 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.422 EB/PA.
lg
vs RHB47 PA0.582
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.582 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.559 to 0.606, based on 47 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.796 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.406 EB/PA.
lg
Raw vs RHB rate (0.796) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
0.3780.4510.5250.5980.672
← better (fewer bases allowed)worse →
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.047
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
Contact allowed
What hitters do when they connect
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Where every ball hit off Luis Gil landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down.
Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two; use the ▶ links below to watch on Baseball Savant.
Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity and direction usually earn. Comparing those earned bases with the bases batters were actually credited shows whether his results have been lucky, unlucky, or fair.
Earned off his contact allowed39
Actually credited to batters36
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Luis Gil.
over 62 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
ERA 6.05 · WHIP 1.34 · BABIP against 0.161 (lg 0.288)
Times through order
What happens the third time they see him
Best games
His biggest outings this year
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
