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Coleman Crow

2026
Brewers· RHP · throws R· 18.2 IP· 5.30 ERA· 1.45 WHIP· 85 BF

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Fbetter than 28% of pitchers at limiting bases
StarterCommand Artist

Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.

Crow is getting hit harder than most pitchers

The simulator expects 0.468 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 28th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (8th percentile).

85 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles vs. 494 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Pitcher type

What kind of pitcher he is, next to the league

Pitcher type

Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.

League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.8%)

How to read this chart
Two skills separate pitching styles: finishing hitters without free passes (strikeout rate minus walk rate) and keeping the contact they do allow soft (hard-hit rate against). Every dot is a qualified pitcher this season; dot size tracks batters faced. Click any dot to open that pitcher's page.
 Coleman CrowLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(lower = better).500.52728th
Walk rate(lower = better)9%9%60th
Strikeout rate(higher = better)18%22%8th

100th percentile = best in MLB.

Arsenal

What he throws, and what it does

Coleman Crow mixes his cutter (36%) and curveball (21%). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 1.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

+4 bases better than a replacement arm this season

allowed 41 bases vs a replacement arm's 45 over the same batters faced

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

2.5 bases cost vs league average, across 272 pitches — 0.9 per 100.

Cutter
36%
87.4 mph · RHP median 90.2
22% whiffs · Lg median 22%
cost 3.8 per 1004.1 total
Curveball
21%
74.1 mph · RHP median 81.2
22% whiffs · Lg median 29%
saved 0.2 per 1000.2 total
Four-Seam Fastball
18%
91.3 mph · RHP median 95.1
saved 1.3 per 1000.7 total
Sinker
17%
91.3 mph · RHP median 94.7
saved 1.3 per 1000.7 total
Sweeper
not charted
8%
79.1 mph · RHP median 83.5

His sweeper isn't in the charts below — only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.

How to read this chart
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.

Mix by batter side

Cutter
34% vs LHH · RHP median 20%
39% vs RHH · RHP median 19%
How to read this chart
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Medians are among right-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time — 142 of them. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

By appearance

How the stuff has held up outing to outing

One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sweeper isn't in these charts — only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.042 EB/PA allowed (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050

vs LHB43 PA0.553

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.553 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.532 to 0.575, based on 43 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.473 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.

vs RHB43 PA0.511

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.511 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.489 to 0.531, based on 43 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.480 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.

0.4210.4640.5060.5490.591
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
  • These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.

Contact allowed

What hitters do when they connect

Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Coleman Crow landed this season.
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Earned vs. actual

Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Coleman Crow.

Earned off his contact allowed34
Actually credited to batters36

over 68 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides

How to read this chart
Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity and direction usually earn. Comparing those earned bases with the bases batters were actually credited shows whether his results have been lucky, unlucky, or fair.

ERA 5.30 · WHIP 1.45 · BABIP against 0.288 (Lg median 0.287)

Best games

His biggest outings this year

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.