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MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Coleman Crow

2026
Brewers· RHP · throws R· 18.2 IP· 5.30 ERA· 1.45 WHIP· 85 batters faced

Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
Fbetter than 24% of qualified pitchers at limiting bases
StarterCommand Artist

Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.

Crow allows more bases than most pitchers

The simulator expects him to allow 0.469 bases per batter faced, better than 24% of qualified pitchers. His weakest skill is getting strikeouts (6th percentile).

His grade rests on 85 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles compare him with 517 qualified pitchers, those with 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers together. He has not reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.

Blas CastañoRockiesJason AlexanderAstrosChris MartinRangersTyler SchweitzerWhite Sox

Pitcher type

This map shows what kind of pitcher he is, next to the league.

Pitcher type

He lands in the “Limits hard contact, pitches to contact” corner of the map.

League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)

How to read this chart
Two skills separate pitching styles: strikeout rate minus walk rate, where higher is better, and hard-hit rate allowed, where lower is better. The hard-hit axis is flipped, so the best corner is the top right. Each dot is a pitcher with 80+ batters faced this season, sized by batters faced. The dashed lines are the league median on each skill, and the league best on each is named above the chart. Click any dot to open that pitcher's page.
 Coleman CrowLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(lower = better).500.527—
Walk rate(lower = better)8%9%62nd
Strikeout rate(higher = better)18%22%6th

A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.

Arsenal

These cards show what he throws and what each pitch does.

Coleman Crow mixes his cutter (36%) and curveball (21%). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 1.3 bases per 100 thrown against league average.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

+9 bases better than a replacement arm this season

He allowed about 41 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 50 over the same batters faced.

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

He cost 2.5 bases against league average across 272 pitches, or 0.9 per 100 pitches.

Cutter
36%
87.4 mph · RHP median 90.1
22% whiffs · Lg median 22%
cost 3.8 per 1004.1 total
Curveball
21%
74.1 mph · RHP median 81.2
22% whiffs · Lg median 29%
saved 0.2 per 1000.2 total
Four-Seam Fastball
18%
91.3 mph · RHP median 95.1
—
saved 1.3 per 1000.7 total
Sinker
17%
91.3 mph · RHP median 94.7
—
saved 1.3 per 1000.7 total
Sweeper
not charted
8%
79.1 mph · RHP median 83.5
—
—

His sweeper isn't in the charts below, because only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.

How to read this chart
Each row is a pitch he throws at least 3% of the time, from pitch tracking in the regular season. The bar is how often he throws it, then its average velocity and its whiff rate, the share of swings that miss. Beside the velocity and the whiff rate is the median for that pitch, among pitchers of his hand for velocity and across the league for whiffs. More whiffs are better for a pitcher, while usage and velocity describe how he pitches. The Bases vs average bars score each pitch against a league-average pitch in the same count, and a bar to the left (saved) is better.

Mix by batter side

Cutter
34% vs LHH · RHP median 20%
39% vs RHH · RHP median 19%
How to read this chart
Each row shows how often he throws a pitch to left-handed hitters (LHH) and right-handed hitters (RHH), next to the median for pitchers of his hand (RHP median). Medians come from the 156 right-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time. A mix is a plan, so a higher or lower share is neither better nor worse. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

By appearance

These charts follow his velocity, movement and mix from outing to outing.

These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His sweeper isn't in these charts, because only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.

Platoon splits

This section splits his results against lefties and righties.

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.041 EB/PA allowed.

50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049

vs LHB43 PA0.556

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.556 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.534 to 0.578, based on 43 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.473 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.

vs RHB43 PA0.514

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.514 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.492 to 0.537, based on 43 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.480 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.

0.4180.4620.5060.5510.595
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

How to read this chart
  • Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
  • The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
  • The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
  • The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
  • Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page

Contact allowed

These cards show what hitters do when they make contact.

Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the opposite field.

Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Every ball hit off Coleman Crow this season is drawn where it landed.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Cam SmithHome run
108 mph · 29° · worth 3.9 bases
05/29 vs Astros
vs Jung Hoo LeeDouble
100 mph · 18° · worth 2.2 bases
06/04 vs Giants
vs Cam SmithDouble
108 mph · 20° · worth 2.1 bases
05/29 vs Astros
vs Alika WilliamsDouble
89 mph · 28° · worth 2.1 bases
06/09 vs Athletics
vs Willy AdamesDouble
97 mph · 28° · worth 1.9 bases
06/04 vs Giants

Luck check

How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Deserved vs. actual

Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Coleman Crow deserved.

Deserved by the contact he allowed34
Actually credited to batters36

Both bars count 68 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.

How to read this chart
Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity, launch angle and direction usually produce. If batters were credited with more than that, his results have been unlucky, and fewer means lucky. BABIP against is the batting average on balls in play he allows, next to the league median.

ERA 5.30 · WHIP 1.45 · BABIP against 0.288 (Lg median 0.286)

Best games

These are his biggest outings this season.

Best games

These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.