Coleman Crow
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Crow is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.468 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 28th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (8th percentile).
85 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.8%)
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| Coleman Crow | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .500 | .527 | 28th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 60th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 18% | 22% | 8th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Coleman Crow mixes his cutter (36%) and curveball (21%). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 1.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 41 bases vs a replacement arm's 45 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
2.5 bases cost vs league average, across 272 pitches — 0.9 per 100.
His sweeper isn't in the charts below — only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sweeper isn't in these charts — only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.042 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.553 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.532 to 0.575, based on 43 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.473 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.511 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.489 to 0.531, based on 43 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.480 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Coleman Crow.
over 68 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.30 · WHIP 1.45 · BABIP against 0.288 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs TwinsMay 15, 2026score only
19 BF · 3 K, 3 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 5.0
- Above replacement
- +5.1
- vs MarlinsApr 17, 2026score only
21 BF · 4 K, 1 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.7
- Above replacement
- +3.5
- vs AthleticsJun 9, 2026score only
9 BF · 0 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.1
- Above replacement
- +0.5
- vs AstrosMay 29, 2026score only
18 BF · 1 K, 2 BB, 4 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 11.7
- Above replacement
- -2.1
- vs GiantsJun 4, 2026score only
18 BF · 2 K, 2 BB, 9 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 12.5
- Above replacement
- -2.9