Chris Martin
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Martin is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.469 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 27th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (98th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (4th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
66 batters faced · data through 2026-08-23.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Chris Martin mixes his cutter (42%) and four-seam fastball (26%). His best pitch has been the cutter, saving 2.4 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 41 bases vs a replacement arm's 34 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
2.9 bases saved vs league average, across 169 pitches — 1.7 per 100.
Only his cutter and four-seam fastball are in the charts below — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his cutter tilts 23 points more toward lefties.
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Chris Martin's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. Only his cutter and four-seam fastball are in these charts — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.497 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.475 to 0.520, based on 23 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.507 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.459 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.459 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.436 to 0.481, based on 43 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.660 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.441 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.660) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 7 more bases than their contact off Chris Martin earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 54 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 9.00 · WHIP 1.93 · BABIP against 0.420 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AstrosJul 11, 2026
5 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs MarinersApr 8, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs RedsApr 5, 2026
6 BF · 1 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.0
- Above replacement
- +1.0
- vs AstrosMay 27, 2026
5 BF · 0 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +0.9
- vs TigersJul 4, 2026
4 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +0.7
Trends
Multi-season trends · Chris Martin
HR allowed% up, BB% down, K% down, Barrel% against up, GB% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.