Wyatt Olds
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Olds has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.458 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 42nd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (76th percentile). The soft spot is Command (18th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
68 batters faced · data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Wyatt Olds leans on his four-seam fastball (52% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 1.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 46% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 28 bases vs a replacement arm's 35 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.1 bases saved vs league average, across 242 pitches — 0.5 per 100.
His cutter isn't in the charts below — only 41 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: changeup (2%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his four-seam fastball tilts 18 points more toward lefties.
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Wyatt Olds's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His cutter isn't in these charts — only 41 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.042 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.051
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.435 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.413 to 0.458, based on 35 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.515 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.515) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.393 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.371 to 0.416, based on 33 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.330 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.330) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs MarlinsAug 25, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs RangersSep 15, 2026
4 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs YankeesAug 28, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs RangersSep 17, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs D-backsAug 17, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.2