Jonathan Hernández
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Hernández sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.452 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 52nd percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Command (17th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
109 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Jonathan Hernández.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.8%)
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| Jonathan Hernández | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .438 | .527 | 52nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 17th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 21% | 22% | 37th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Jonathan Hernández mixes his slider (45%) and sinker (37%). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 4.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his slider runs 2.1 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 44 bases vs a replacement arm's 56 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
5.2 bases saved vs league average, across 407 pitches — 1.3 per 100.
Rarely used: changeup, splitter (2%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his slider tilts 29 points more toward lefties.
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Jonathan Hernández's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 2 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.482 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.462 to 0.503, based on 49 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.320 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.320) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.441 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.419 to 0.461, based on 60 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.489 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 5 more bases than their contact off Jonathan Hernández earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 73 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.68 · WHIP 1.34 · BABIP against 0.246 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs BrewersAug 15, 2026
11 BF · 4 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.0
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs D-backsAug 9, 2026
6 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs CubsAug 3, 2026
7 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs RockiesMay 26, 2026score only
7 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs D-backsJun 3, 2026score only
7 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.5
- Above replacement
- +2.1
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jonathan Hernández
HR allowed% up, BB% down, Barrel% against down, GB% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against down vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.