Kyle Backhus
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Backhus sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.451 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 55th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (80th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
94 batters faced · data through 2026-09-08.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.6%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (30.7%)
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| Kyle Backhus | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .515 | .528 | 55th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 67th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 45th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Kyle Backhus leans on his sinker (55% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 0.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 41 bases vs a replacement arm's 48 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
0.3 bases cost vs league average, across 317 pitches — 0.1 per 100.
His changeup isn't in the charts below — only 37 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Kyle Backhus's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His changeup isn't in these charts — only 37 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.428 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.407 to 0.450, based on 37 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.375 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.375) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.466 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.445 to 0.488, based on 57 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.485 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.437 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Kyle Backhus.
over 65 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.95 · WHIP 1.55 · BABIP against 0.339 (Lg median 0.288)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs CubsApr 22, 2026score only
5 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs RockiesApr 5, 2026score only
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs BravesApr 19, 2026score only
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs RoyalsJul 6, 2026
7 BF · 1 K, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.3
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs BravesApr 24, 2026score only
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.2
Trends
Multi-season trends · Kyle Backhus
HR allowed% up, K% up, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against up, FB% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.