Brad Lord
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Lord sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.452 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 52nd percentile of qualified pitchers. Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
279 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Brad Lord.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Brad Lord | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .471 | .528 | 52nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 42nd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 38th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Brad Lord mixes his four-seam fastball (37%) and sinker (23%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 6.4 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 114 bases vs a replacement arm's 143 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
6.1 bases saved vs league average, across 1,166 pitches — 0.5 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Brad Lord's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.043 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.052
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.477 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.457 to 0.496, based on 135 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.551 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.551) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.434 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.414 to 0.453, based on 144 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.315 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.315) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 7 fewer bases than their contact off Brad Lord earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 184 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.88 · WHIP 1.22 · BABIP against 0.260 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RedsMay 12, 2026
11 BF · 3 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +4.0
- vs MetsApr 28, 2026
8 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs BravesMay 23, 2026
12 BF · 3 K, 1 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 3.4
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs MarlinsAug 21, 2026
10 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 2.4
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs PiratesApr 15, 2026
10 BF · 2 K, 1 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 2.5
- Above replacement
- +2.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Brad Lord
HR allowed% down, BB% up, Barrel% against down, GB% against up, FB% against up, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.