Cade Gibson
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Gibson has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.463 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 35th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (92nd percentile). The soft spot is Command (27th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
170 batters faced · data through 2026-08-24.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Cade Gibson.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Cade Gibson | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .437 | .528 | 35th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 27th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 21% | 22% | 30th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Cade Gibson mixes his sweeper (27%) and curveball (23%). His best pitch has been the curveball, saving 1.2 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 70 bases vs a replacement arm's 87 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
3.0 bases saved vs league average, across 667 pitches — 0.4 per 100.
His four-seam fastball isn't in the charts below — only 29 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his slider tilts 17 points more toward righties.
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Cade Gibson's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His four-seam fastball isn't in these charts — only 29 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.435 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.414 to 0.457, based on 98 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.370 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.453 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.370) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.474 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.455 to 0.496, based on 73 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.485 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.439 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Cade Gibson.
over 119 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.30 · WHIP 1.50 · BABIP against 0.319 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs MarinersJul 8, 2026
6 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs MetsMay 31, 2026
5 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs GuardiansJul 11, 2026
4 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs RockiesJul 2, 2026
10 BF · 0 K, 4 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 3.4
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs GiantsJun 19, 2026
5 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +1.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Cade Gibson
BB% up, Barrel% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.