Jake Woodford
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Woodford sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.453 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 50th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (84th percentile). The soft spot is Quiet Contact (8th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
126 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Jake Woodford.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Jake Woodford | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .575 | .528 | 50th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 84th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 20% | 22% | 12th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Jake Woodford mixes his cutter (37%) and sinker (29%). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 2.7 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 64 bases vs a replacement arm's 65 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
5.6 bases cost vs league average, across 442 pitches — 1.3 per 100.
Rarely used: slider, four-seam fastball, curveball (3%)
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Mix by batter side
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Jake Woodford's pitch movement, 2026
3 of his 4 pitches have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.480 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.460 to 0.502, based on 51 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.593 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.593) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.439 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.419 to 0.461, based on 75 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.427 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Jake Woodford.
over 96 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 7.18 · WHIP 1.78 · BABIP against 0.391 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs D-backsApr 28, 2026
11 BF · 2 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.0
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs Red SoxApr 8, 2026
15 BF · 1 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.5
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs GiantsJun 1, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs D-backsApr 30, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs TigersApr 21, 2026
11 BF · 2 K, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.3
- Above replacement
- +1.3
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jake Woodford
HR allowed% up, BB% down, K% up, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against up, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.