MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Brewers, 04/30/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 30, 2026
D-backs
1
Final
Game 823795
Brewers
13
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
1%
· tied 2%
·
Brewers
96%
Brewers earned it
Brewers deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 13–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.