Andrew Nardi
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Nardi has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.463 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 36th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (83rd percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (15th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
99 batters faced · data through 2026-09-12.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.9%)
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| Andrew Nardi | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .633 | .527 | 36th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 25th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 83rd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Andrew Nardi leans on his four-seam fastball (48% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 1.5 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 29% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 49 bases vs a replacement arm's 51 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
5.3 bases cost vs league average, across 327 pitches — 1.6 per 100.
His changeup isn't in the charts below — only 44 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: sinker (2%)
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Mix by batter side
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Andrew Nardi's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His changeup isn't in these charts — only 44 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.028 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.398 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.377 to 0.421, based on 48 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.484 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.457 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.484) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.435 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.414 to 0.457, based on 51 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.524 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.524) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.037).
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Andrew Nardi.
over 60 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.16 · WHIP 1.41 · BABIP against 0.304 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RaysMay 15, 2026score only
4 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs CardinalsApr 20, 2026score only
4 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs MetsMay 22, 2026score only
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs White SoxMar 31, 2026score only
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs NationalsMay 9, 2026score only
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Andrew Nardi
xEB/PA up, HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against up, GB% against up, FB% against down, Pull% against up vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.