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Below league average across the board.
The simulator expects 0.499 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 19th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (90th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (8th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
| Andrew Nardi | League | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(fewer = better) | .633 | .529 | 19th |
| Walk rate(fewer = better) | 11% | 9% | 19th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 26% | 22% | 90th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Andrew Nardi leans on his four-seam fastball (48% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 1.5 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 27% whiff rate.
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.
allowed 49 bases vs a replacement arm's 50 over the same batters faced
Rarely used: sinker (2%)
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.442 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.418 to 0.463, based on 48 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.484 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.422 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.480 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.458 to 0.502, based on 51 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.524 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.406 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.524) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity and direction usually earn. Comparing those earned bases with the bases batters were actually credited shows whether his results have been lucky, unlucky, or fair.
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Andrew Nardi.
over 60 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
ERA 5.16 · WHIP 1.41 · BABIP against 0.304 (lg 0.288)
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
4 BF · 2 K, 1 H
4 BF · 0 K
3 BF · 2 K
3 BF · 2 K
3 BF · 0 K
xEB/PA up, HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against up, GB% against up, FB% against down vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.
