Tom Cosgrove
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Cosgrove sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.452 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 52nd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (72nd percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (20th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
58 batters faced · data through 2026-08-23.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Tom Cosgrove leans on his sweeper (67% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 2.2 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 26 bases vs a replacement arm's 30 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
2.4 bases saved vs league average, across 194 pitches — 1.2 per 100.
His sinker isn't in the charts below — only 15 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Tom Cosgrove's pitch movement, 2026
His Four-Seam Fastball has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sinker isn't in these charts — only 15 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.440 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.417 to 0.464, based on 24 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.358 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.459 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.358) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.478 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.455 to 0.501, based on 34 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.490 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.441 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RockiesJul 20, 2026
6 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs RangersAug 20, 2026
4 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs RedsAug 8, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs Blue JaysJul 28, 2026
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs PhilliesAug 5, 2026
5 BF · 0 K, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Tom Cosgrove
HR allowed% down, BB% down vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.