Joe Boyle
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Boyle sits right around league average
The simulator expects him to allow 0.450 bases per batter faced, better than 55% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting home runs (82nd percentile). His weakest skill is limiting walks (23rd percentile).
His grade rests on 81 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, but gets hit hard” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Joe Boyle | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .506 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 23rd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 68th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Joe Boyle mixes his slider (32%) and four-seam fastball (22%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 1.4 bases per 100 thrown against league average, and his slider runs 2.1 mph faster than the median right-handed pitcher's.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 34 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 47 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He cost 0.3 bases against league average across 304 pitches, or 0.1 per 100 pitches.
His sweeper isn't in the charts below, because only 43 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His sweeper isn't in these charts, because only 43 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.435 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.414 to 0.457, based on 44 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.437 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.394 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.373 to 0.417, based on 38 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.396 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so even his weaker side is a strength.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the pull side.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One out behind him came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
One hit off him had less than a 20% chance of being a hit.
How to read this chart
Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Joe Boyle deserved.
Both bars count 50 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
How to read this chart
ERA 5.21 · WHIP 1.16 · BABIP against 0.225 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through the order
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs CardinalsMar 28, 2026score only
21 BF · 4 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.8
- Above replacement
- +5.6
- vs OriolesAug 16, 2026
15 BF · 5 K, 3 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.4
- Above replacement
- +4.4
- vs TwinsApr 3, 2026score only
25 BF · 9 K, 3 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 10.6
- Above replacement
- +4.1
- vs CubsApr 8, 2026score only
20 BF · 3 K, 3 BB, 4 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 12.5
- Above replacement
- -0.8
Trends
Multi-season trends · Joe Boyle
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is down, his Barrel% against is down, his Hard-hit% against is down, his GB% against is down, his FB% against is down and his Pull% against is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.