Ryan Helsley
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Helsley sits right around league average
The simulator expects him to allow 0.450 bases per batter faced, better than 55% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is getting strikeouts (89th percentile). His weakest skill is limiting home runs (16th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 68 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Ryan Helsley leans on his four-seam fastball (45% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 1.8 bases per 100 thrown against league average, and his four-seam fastball runs 3.6 mph faster than the median right-handed pitcher's.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 26 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 35 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 0.4 bases against league average across 229 pitches, or 0.2 per 100 pitches.
His splitter and curveball aren't in the charts below, because too few of each were tracked this season.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his slider tilts 28 points more toward righties.
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Ryan Helsley's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His splitter and curveball aren't in these charts, because too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.041 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.432 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.409 to 0.453, based on 48 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.394 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.390 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.369 to 0.413, based on 21 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.411 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so even his weaker side is a strength.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One hit off him had less than a 20% chance of being a hit.
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Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs NationalsJun 27, 2026
5 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs TwinsMar 26, 2026score only
4 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs AngelsJun 24, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs D-backsApr 15, 2026score only
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs NationalsJun 26, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Ryan Helsley
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is up, his BB% is up and his K% is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.