Ryan Helsley
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Helsley sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.449 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 58th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (89th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (19th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
68 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Ryan Helsley leans on his four-seam fastball (45% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 1.8 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 3.6 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 26 bases vs a replacement arm's 35 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
0.4 bases saved vs league average, across 229 pitches — 0.2 per 100.
His splitter and curveball aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his slider tilts 29 points more toward righties.
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Ryan Helsley's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His splitter and curveball aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.042 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.429 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.406 to 0.450, based on 48 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.394 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.387 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.365 to 0.411, based on 21 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.411 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs NationalsJun 27, 2026
5 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs TwinsMar 26, 2026score only
4 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs AngelsJun 24, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs D-backsApr 15, 2026score only
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs NationalsJun 26, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Ryan Helsley
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.