Jacob Webb
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Webb is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.435 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 73rd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (76th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
241 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Jacob Webb.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Jacob Webb | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .530 | .528 | 73rd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 55th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 25% | 22% | 76th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Jacob Webb mixes his four-seam fastball (44%) and changeup (38%). His best pitch has been the curveball, saving 2.7 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 103 bases vs a replacement arm's 124 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
8.2 bases saved vs league average, across 941 pitches — 0.9 per 100.
Rarely used: sweeper (3%)
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Mix by batter side
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Jacob Webb's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.430 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.411 to 0.450, based on 146 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.375 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.392 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.373 to 0.412, based on 95 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.493 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.493) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 7 fewer bases than their contact off Jacob Webb earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 154 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.65 · WHIP 1.21 · BABIP against 0.292 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs GiantsJun 6, 2026
8 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs D-backsMay 1, 2026
7 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs RedsMay 6, 2026
5 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs RedsMay 5, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs White SoxMay 17, 2026
5 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +1.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jacob Webb
HR allowed% down, BB% up, K% up, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against up, GB% against up, FB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.