Adrian Morejon
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Morejon is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.398 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 97th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (91st percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
282 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Adrian Morejon.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Adrian Morejon | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .412 | .528 | 97th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 78th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 27% | 22% | 89th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Adrian Morejon leans on his sinker (47% of pitches). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 6.0 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 54% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 92 bases vs a replacement arm's 145 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
34.1 bases saved vs league average, across 1,085 pitches — 3.1 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Adrian Morejon's pitch movement, 2026
His Changeup and Four-Seam Fastball have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.356 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.336 to 0.377, based on 110 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.311 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.311) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.395 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.375 to 0.415, based on 173 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.350 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Adrian Morejon.
over 174 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.74 · WHIP 1.07 · BABIP against 0.300 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs GiantsMay 6, 2026
7 BF · 4 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs RedsJun 8, 2026
5 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs MarinersApr 16, 2026
5 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs RangersJun 20, 2026
8 BF · 5 K, 1 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 1.9
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs TigersMar 27, 2026
6 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +2.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Adrian Morejon
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% up, Barrel% against down, FB% against down, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.