MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Tigers @ Padres, 03/27/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Mar 27, 2026
Tigers
5
Final
Game 823324
Padres
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Tigers
60%
· tied 16%
·
Padres
24%
Tigers earned it
Tigers deserved to win and did, beating Padres 5–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.