John King
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
King is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.474 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 22nd percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (5th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
197 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with John King.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| John King | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .535 | .528 | 22nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 58th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 5th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
John King mixes his sinker (32%) and changeup (20%). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 4.1 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 94 bases vs a replacement arm's 101 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
3.8 bases cost vs league average, across 705 pitches — 0.5 per 100.
Rarely used: four-seam fastball (1%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his sinker tilts 15 points more toward righties.
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John King's pitch movement, 2026
4 of his 5 pitches have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.454 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.434 to 0.475, based on 110 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.465 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.493 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.472 to 0.513, based on 87 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.526 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.526) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 3 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 12 fewer bases than their contact off John King earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 142 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.99 · WHIP 1.01 · BABIP against 0.193 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs NationalsJun 2, 2026
5 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs CardinalsApr 21, 2026
4 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs BrewersApr 17, 2026
4 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs RaysMay 17, 2026
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs CardinalsJun 27, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · John King
BB% up, K% up, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.