MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Marlins @ Nationals, 06/02/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 2, 2026
Marlins
7
Final
Game 822728
Nationals
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Marlins
94%
· tied 3%
·
Nationals
3%
Marlins earned it
Marlins deserved to win and did, beating Nationals 7–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.