MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Cardinals @ Marlins, 04/21/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 21, 2026
Cardinals
5
Final
Game 823880
Marlins
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Cardinals
53%
· tied 15%
·
Marlins
32%
Cardinals earned it
Cardinals deserved to win and did, beating Marlins 5–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.