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Bailey Falter

2026
Braves· LHP · throws L· 13.0 IP· 10.38 ERA· 2.46 WHIP· 69 batters faced

Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
Fbetter than 21% of qualified pitchers at limiting bases
RelieverCommand Artist

Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.

Falter allows more bases than most pitchers

The simulator expects him to allow 0.473 bases per batter faced, better than 21% of qualified pitchers. His weakest skill is limiting home runs (3rd percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.

His grade rests on 69 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles compare him with 517 qualified pitchers, those with 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers together. He has not reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.

Joel PegueroGiantsPatrick CorbinBlue JaysJohn KingMarlinsJose CabreraD-backs

Pitcher type

This map shows what kind of pitcher he is, next to the league.

Arsenal

These cards show what he throws and what each pitch does.

Bailey Falter leans on his four-seam fastball (55% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet, and the slider has come closest.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

−3 bases worse than a replacement arm this season

He allowed about 39 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 36 over the same batters faced.

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

He cost 3.9 bases against league average across 176 pitches, or 2.2 per 100 pitches.

Four-Seam Fastball
55%
92.3 mph · LHP median 93.5
10% whiffs · Lg median 21%
cost 2.2 per 1002.7 total
Slider
26%
83.7 mph · LHP median 85.6
—
cost 2.1 per 1001.2 total
Splitter
not charted
9%
85.5 mph · LHP median 84.1
—
—
Curveball
not charted
8%
77.3 mph · LHP median 79.9
—
—

His splitter and curveball aren't in the charts below, because too few of each were tracked this season.

He rarely throws his sinker (2% of his pitches).

How to read this chart
Each row is a pitch he throws at least 3% of the time, from pitch tracking in the regular season. The bar is how often he throws it, then its average velocity and its whiff rate, the share of swings that miss. Beside the velocity and the whiff rate is the median for that pitch, among pitchers of his hand for velocity and across the league for whiffs. More whiffs are better for a pitcher, while usage and velocity describe how he pitches. The Bases vs average bars score each pitch against a league-average pitch in the same count, and a bar to the left (saved) is better.

Mix by batter side

Four-Seam Fastball
53% vs LHH · LHP median 34%
57% vs RHH · LHP median 41%
How to read this chart
Each row shows how often he throws a pitch to left-handed hitters (LHH) and right-handed hitters (RHH), next to the median for pitchers of his hand (LHP median). Medians come from the 149 left-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time. A mix is a plan, so a higher or lower share is neither better nor worse. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

Bailey Falter's pitch movement, 2026

Bailey Falter's pitch movement, 2026-606061218in← glove sidearm side →more risemore drop
Four-Seam FastballFF
Rise 17.6 in
+1.9 vs Lg median
Break 4.5 in
−3.2 vs Lg median
SliderSL
Rise 2.9 in
+1.1 vs Lg median
Break −4.8 in
−1.1 vs Lg median
Early season → nowLg medianNormal wobble around the dot
How to read this chart
Each dot is a pitch's current break in inches, averaged over his latest outings. Higher is more rise and further right is more arm-side break, and neither is better or worse. The faint trail runs from his early-season outings to the dot, and the soft halo shows how far normal noise can move it. League median is the small hollow ring, and a pitch marked * has none because too few pitchers throw it. The by-appearance chart below has the exact dates. More on the About page

By appearance

These charts follow his velocity, movement and mix from outing to outing.

These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His splitter and curveball aren't in these charts, because too few of each were tracked this season.

Platoon splits

This section splits his results against lefties and righties.

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

He handles lefty bats better than righty bats, by 0.038 EB/PA allowed.

50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.046

vs LHB28 PA0.520

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.520 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.497 to 0.541, based on 28 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.540 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.

vs RHB41 PA0.558

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.558 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.537 to 0.580, based on 41 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.563 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.

0.4180.4630.5080.5530.598
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

His split is about typical for a lefty arm (median 0.038). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

How to read this chart
  • Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
  • The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
  • The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
  • The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
  • Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page

Contact allowed

These cards show what hitters do when they make contact.

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.

Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Every ball hit off Bailey Falter this season is drawn where it landed.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Amed RosarioHome run
101 mph · 32° · worth 3.0 bases
05/26 vs Yankees
vs Cody BellingerHome run
105 mph · 21° · worth 2.2 bases
05/26 vs Yankees
vs Paul GoldschmidtDouble
106 mph · 11° · worth 2.1 bases
05/26 vs Yankees
vs Anthony VolpeHome run
103 mph · 24° · worth 1.9 bases
05/26 vs Yankees
vs Bryson StottDouble
101 mph · 21° · worth 1.7 bases
09/13 vs Phillies

Luck check

How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Deserved vs. actual

Batters have been credited with about 10 more bases than their contact off Bailey Falter deserved, so his results have been unlucky so far.

Deserved by the contact he allowed32
Actually credited to batters42

Both bars count 55 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.

How to read this chart
Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity, launch angle and direction usually produce. If batters were credited with more than that, his results have been unlucky, and fewer means lucky. BABIP against is the batting average on balls in play he allows, next to the league median.

ERA 10.38 · WHIP 2.46 · BABIP against 0.431 (Lg median 0.286)

Times through the order

These charts show what happens as hitters see him a second and third time.

Best games

These are his biggest outings this season.

Best games

These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Bailey Falter

Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is up, his K% is down, his Barrel% against is down and his FB% against is down.

Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.