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Pounds the zone, but too much of it gets hit hard.
The simulator expects 0.534 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 6th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (1st percentile).
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Bailey Falter leans on his four-seam fastball (56% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the four-seam fastball has come closest.
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.
allowed 33 bases vs a replacement arm's 34 over the same batters faced
Rarely used: sinker (2%)
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.508 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.485 to 0.532, based on 22 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.589 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.422 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.589) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.546 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.523 to 0.569, based on 35 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.566 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.406 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
14 BF · 4 K, 5 H
9 BF · 0 K, 1 BB, 3 H
12 BF · 2 K, 3 BB, 4 H
6 BF · 0 K, 2 BB, 3 H, 1 HR
16 BF · 0 K, 9 H, 3 HR
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.
