Joel Peguero
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Peguero is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.470 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 26th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (93rd percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (19th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
48 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Joel Peguero mixes his four-seam fastball (43%) and sinker (34%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 4.8 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 4.9 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 16 bases vs a replacement arm's 25 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
5.2 bases saved vs league average, across 130 pitches — 4.0 per 100.
His slider isn't in the charts below — only 39 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Joel Peguero's pitch movement, 2026
His Four-Seam Fastball has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His slider isn't in these charts — only 39 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.042 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.051
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.546 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.524 to 0.569, based on 21 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.307 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.307) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.504 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.481 to 0.527, based on 28 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.377 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.377) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs White SoxMay 23, 2026
7 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs RockiesMay 31, 2026score only
8 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.3
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs PadresMay 5, 2026score only
4 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs PadresMay 6, 2026score only
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs DodgersMay 13, 2026score only
4 BF · 0 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +0.8
Trends
Multi-season trends · Joel Peguero
HR allowed% down, BB% down, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.