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Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
The simulator expects 0.419 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 77th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (95th percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (5th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Joel Peguero mixes his four-seam fastball (43%) and sinker (34%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 4.8 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 4.9 mph above the league norm.
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.
allowed 16 bases vs a replacement arm's 24 over the same batters faced
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.334 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.310 to 0.357, based on 21 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.307 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.422 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.293 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.269 to 0.316, based on 28 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.377 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.406 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
7 BF · 1 K, 2 H
8 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 2 H
4 BF · 0 K, 1 H
3 BF · 1 K
4 BF · 0 K, 1 BB
HR allowed% down, BB% down, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.