Joel Peguero
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Peguero allows more bases than most pitchers
The simulator expects him to allow 0.473 bases per batter faced, better than 21% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting home runs (91st percentile). His weakest skill is getting strikeouts (21st percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 48 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Joel Peguero mixes his four-seam fastball (43%) and sinker (34%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 4.8 bases per 100 thrown against league average, and his four-seam fastball runs 4.9 mph faster than the median right-handed pitcher's.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 16 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 25 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 5.2 bases against league average across 130 pitches, or 4.0 per 100 pitches.
His slider isn't in the charts below, because only 39 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
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Joel Peguero's pitch movement, 2026
His Four-Seam Fastball has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His slider isn't in these charts, because only 39 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.549 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.526 to 0.571, based on 21 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.307 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs LHB (0.307) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.507 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.485 to 0.530, based on 28 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.377 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs RHB (0.377) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
2 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs White SoxMay 23, 2026
7 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs RockiesMay 31, 2026score only
8 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.3
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs PadresMay 5, 2026score only
4 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs PadresMay 6, 2026score only
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs DodgersMay 13, 2026score only
4 BF · 0 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +0.8
Trends
Multi-season trends · Joel Peguero
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is down and his K% is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.