Luis García

2026

Twins· RHP · throws R· 15.0 IP· 9.00 ERA· 1.93 WHIP· 74 BF

Grade

How good he's been, and at what

F8th percentile run prevention

RelieverHittable Strike-Thrower

Pounds the zone, but too much of it gets hit hard.

García is getting hit harder than most pitchers

The simulator expects 0.525 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 8th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (0th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.

Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 424 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.
74 batters faced · data through 2026-07-29.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Simeon Woods RichardsonTwins

Zebby MatthewsTwins

Ryne NelsonD-backs

Aaron CivaleAthletics

Pitcher type

What kind of pitcher he is, next to the league

Arsenal

What he throws, and what it does

Luis García leans on his sinker (47% of pitches). His best pitch has been the splitter, saving 1.2 bases per 100 thrown vs average.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.

−2 bases worse than a replacement arm this season

allowed 39 bases vs a replacement arm's 37 over the same batters faced

Results

All pitches

cost 1.2 per 1003.1 cost across 260

Sinker

47% +5 pts vs '25

95.0 mph · lg 94.8 −1.9 mph vs '25

8% whiffs · lg 11%

cost 0.4 per 1000.5 cost across 124

Splitter

31% +9 pts vs '25

87.6 mph · lg 86.8 −1.0 mph vs '25

29% whiffs · lg 32%

saved 1.2 per 1001.0 saved across 83

Sweeper

20% −14 pts vs '25

81.8 mph · lg 83.5 −1.1 mph vs '25

30% whiffs · lg 28%

cost 6.8 per 1003.6 cost across 53

Rarely used: four-seam fastball (2%)

Mix by batter side

How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

Sinker

47% vs LHH

47% vs RHH

By appearance

How the stuff has held up outing to outing

One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 50% probable range. Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
Gray tick (marked “lg”) = league median vs that side; the faint gray band behind it spans the middle half of the league (25th–75th percentile).
Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.

vs LHB43 PA0.507

vs RHB31 PA0.466

Raw vs RHB rate (0.597) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

0.3910.4290.4670.5050.543

← better (fewer bases allowed)worse →

Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.048

About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

Contact allowed

What hitters do when they connect

Batters go up the middle off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Luis García landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down.
Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two; use the ▶ links below to watch on Baseball Savant.

hit · out

EBlowhigh

vs CJ AbramsHome run

EV 104 mph · LA 31° · EB 3.8

05/06 vs Nationals

vs José TenaHome run

EV 106 mph · LA 34° · EB 3.2

05/06 vs Nationals

vs Gabriel MorenoDouble

EV 101 mph · LA 26° · EB 2.4

04/09 vs D-backs

vs Julio RodríguezDouble

EV 99 mph · LA 12° · EB 2.1

04/28 vs Mariners

vs Gabriel MorenoDouble

EV 101 mph · LA 16° · EB 1.5

04/07 vs D-backs

Luck check

Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Adrian Del CastilloDoubleCheap hit

EV 100 mph · LA 21° · EB 0.3 · xBA .127

04/09 vs D-backs

Earned vs. actual

Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity and direction usually earn. Comparing those earned bases with the bases batters were actually credited shows whether his results have been lucky, unlucky, or fair.

Earned off his contact allowed32

Actually credited to batters36

Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Luis García.

over 58 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides

ERA 9.00 · WHIP 1.93 · BABIP against 0.375 (lg 0.288)

Best games

His biggest outings this year

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.

Date	Opponent	Result	Bases allowed	Above replacement
May 13, 2026	Marlins	7 BF · 1 K, 1 H	1.8	+1.8
Apr 3, 2026	Giants	4 BF · 1 K, 1 H	0.5	+1.5
May 9, 2026	Guardians	3 BF · 0 K	0.1	+1.4
Apr 11, 2026	Athletics	4 BF · 1 K, 1 H	0.8	+1.3
May 1, 2026	Blue Jays	3 BF · 0 K	0.5	+1.0