Skip to main content
← All games

Marlins at Twins · May 13, 2026

Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Marlins 19% · tied 11% · Twins 69%

Marlins stole one

Twins did more to deserve the win, but Marlins took it 9-5.

  • This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
  • The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.