Austin Voth

2026

Blue Jays· RHP · throws R· 10.0 IP· 9.90 ERA· 2.50 WHIP· 56 BF

Grade

How good he's been, and at what

F3rd percentile run prevention

StarterHittable Strike-Thrower

Pounds the zone, but too much of it gets hit hard.

Voth is getting hit harder than most pitchers

The simulator expects 0.557 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 3rd percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (0th percentile).

Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 424 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.
56 batters faced · data through 2026-07-29.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Max ScherzerBlue Jays

Aaron BummerBraves

Germán MárquezPadres

Trevor MartinRays

Pitcher type

What kind of pitcher he is, next to the league

Arsenal

What he throws, and what it does

Austin Voth mixes his four-seam fastball (25%) and cutter (24%). His best pitch has been the cutter, saving 2.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.

+2 bases better than a replacement arm this season

allowed 32 bases vs a replacement arm's 33 over the same batters faced

Results

All pitches

cost 3.1 per 1003.3 cost across 105

Four-Seam Fastball

25%

92.1 mph · lg 95.1

—

cost 8.3 per 1004.5 cost across 54

Cutter

24%

87.4 mph · lg 90.1

—

saved 2.3 per 1001.2 saved across 51

Sweeper

19%

80.1 mph · lg 83.5

—

Curveball

16%

74.5 mph · lg 81.6

—

Sinker

13%

91.2 mph · lg 94.8

—

Splitter

85.1 mph · lg 86.8

—

Mix by batter side

How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

Four-Seam Fastball

25% vs LHH

26% vs RHH

By appearance

How the stuff has held up outing to outing

One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 50% probable range. Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
Gray tick (marked “lg”) = league median vs that side; the faint gray band behind it spans the middle half of the league (25th–75th percentile).
Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.

vs LHB29 PA0.548

Raw vs LHB rate (0.604) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

vs RHB27 PA0.507

0.3860.4370.4880.5390.590

← better (fewer bases allowed)worse →

Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.049

About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

Contact allowed

What hitters do when they connect

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Austin Voth landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down.
Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two; use the ▶ links below to watch on Baseball Savant.

hit · out

EBlowhigh

vs Jackson HollidayHome run

EV 103 mph · LA 34° · EB 3.8

05/29 vs Orioles

vs Pete AlonsoHome run

EV 104 mph · LA 30° · EB 2.8

05/29 vs Orioles

vs Freddie FreemanDouble

EV 104 mph · LA 11° · EB 2.0

06/23 vs Dodgers

vs Lenyn SosaDouble

EV 102 mph · LA 15° · EB 1.9

04/05 vs White Sox

vs Freddie FreemanDouble

EV 102 mph · LA 13° · EB 1.4

06/23 vs Dodgers

Luck check

Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Samuel BasalloHome runCheap hit

EV 102 mph · LA 33° · EB 0.2 · xBA .088

05/29 vs Orioles

Times through order

What happens the third time they see him

Best games

His biggest outings this year

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.

Date	Opponent	Result	Bases allowed	Above replacement
Jun 23, 2026	Dodgers	25 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 11 H	11.8	+3.1
Apr 5, 2026	White Sox	12 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 3 H	5.0	+1.1
May 29, 2026	Orioles	19 BF · 0 K, 4 BB, 5 H, 3 HR	14.6	-3.3