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MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Austin Voth

2026
Twins· RHP · throws R· 10.0 IP· 9.90 ERA· 2.50 WHIP· 56 BF

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Fbetter than 6% of pitchers at limiting bases
StarterStill Searching

Below league average across the board.

Voth is getting hit harder than most pitchers

The simulator expects 0.489 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 6th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (5th percentile).

56 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles vs. 494 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Charlie BarnesDodgersTrey GibsonOriolesMatt GageGiantsMax KranickNationals

Pitcher type

What kind of pitcher he is, next to the league

Arsenal

What he throws, and what it does

Austin Voth mixes his four-seam fastball (25%) and cutter (24%). His best pitch has been the cutter, saving 2.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

−1 bases worse than a replacement arm this season

allowed 31 bases vs a replacement arm's 30 over the same batters faced

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

3.3 bases cost vs league average, across 105 pitches — 3.1 per 100.

Four-Seam Fastball
25%
92.1 mph · RHP median 95.1
—
cost 8.3 per 1004.5 total
Cutter
24%
87.4 mph · RHP median 90.2
—
saved 2.3 per 1001.2 total
Sweeper
not charted
19%
80.1 mph · RHP median 83.5
—
—
Curveball
not charted
16%
74.5 mph · RHP median 81.2
—
—
Sinker
not charted
13%
91.2 mph · RHP median 94.7
—
—
Splitter
not charted
4%
85.1 mph · RHP median 86.9
—
—

Only his four-seam fastball and cutter are in the charts below — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

How to read this chart
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.

Mix by batter side

Four-Seam Fastball
25% vs LHH · RHP median 40%
26% vs RHH · RHP median 33%
How to read this chart
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Medians are among right-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time — 371 of them. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

By appearance

How the stuff has held up outing to outing

One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. Only his four-seam fastball and cutter are in these charts — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.042 EB/PA allowed (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050

vs LHB29 PA0.565

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.565 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.543 to 0.588, based on 29 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.604 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.

vs RHB27 PA0.522

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.522 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.499 to 0.544, based on 27 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.514 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.

0.4190.4660.5130.5590.606
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
  • These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.

Contact allowed

What hitters do when they connect

Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Austin Voth landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Jackson HollidayHome run
EV 103 mph · LA 34° · EB 3.8
05/29 vs Orioles
vs Pete AlonsoHome run
EV 104 mph · LA 30° · EB 2.8
05/29 vs Orioles
vs Freddie FreemanDouble
EV 104 mph · LA 11° · EB 2.0
06/23 vs Dodgers
vs Lenyn SosaDouble
EV 102 mph · LA 15° · EB 1.9
04/05 vs White Sox
vs Freddie FreemanDouble
EV 102 mph · LA 13° · EB 1.4
06/23 vs Dodgers

Luck check

Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Samuel BasalloHome runCheap hit
EV 102 mph · LA 33° · EB 0.2 · xBA .088
05/29 vs Orioles
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Times through order

What happens the third time they see him

Best games

His biggest outings this year

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Austin Voth

xEB/PA up, HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down vs his previous season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.