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One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Elite power and walks; lives with the strikeouts.
CJ Kayfus walks at a near-elite clip — better than 87% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up, though — only 18% of qualified hitters whiff more often. Early-season read — only 25 plate appearances so far.
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.368 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.337 to 0.400, based on 3 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.013 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.424 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHP rate (0.013) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.451 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.422 to 0.483, based on 22 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.461 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.436 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty bat (median 0.082). Against lefties he sits below the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
He sits in the league's bottom quarter vs lefties and the league's middle half vs righties.
He hits the ball up the middle most often, but does his most damage to the opposite field.
1 lucky hit — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass.
His best games this season by bases above replacement.
2-2 · HR
0-4
0-2 · HBP
0-3 · BB
1-2 · 2B
HR% up, K% up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.
