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Apr 5, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Cubs 18% · tied 22% · Guardians 60%
Cubs stole one
Guardians did more to deserve the win, but Cubs took it 1–0.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.