Spencer Miles
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Miles is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.409 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 93rd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (89th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
324 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Spencer Miles.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Spencer Miles | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .432 | .528 | 93rd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 87th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 55th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Spencer Miles mixes his sinker (42%) and curveball (26%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 3.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 122 bases vs a replacement arm's 166 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
27.2 bases saved vs league average, across 1,242 pitches — 2.2 per 100.
Rarely used: changeup (0%)
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Mix by batter side
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Spencer Miles's pitch movement, 2026
His Curveball has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 3 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.438 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.419 to 0.457, based on 179 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.427 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.397 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.378 to 0.416, based on 147 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.300 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.300) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 7 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 5 fewer bases than their contact off Spencer Miles earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 230 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.02 · WHIP 1.10 · BABIP against 0.280 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs YankeesMay 21, 2026
16 BF · 6 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.5
- Above replacement
- +5.4
- vs MarlinsMay 26, 2026
17 BF · 3 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.4
- Above replacement
- +5.1
- vs GiantsJul 7, 2026
18 BF · 1 K, 7 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.1
- Above replacement
- +4.9
- vs AngelsMay 10, 2026
11 BF · 2 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.2
- Above replacement
- +3.4
- vs MetsJul 1, 2026
11 BF · 5 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.5
- Above replacement
- +3.2