MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Marlins @ Blue Jays, 05/26/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 26, 2026
Marlins
1
Final
Game 822811
Blue Jays
8
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Marlins
0%
· tied 1%
·
Blue Jays
99%
Blue Jays earned it
Blue Jays deserved to win and did, beating Marlins 8–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.