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One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Not enough modeled data yet to judge his run prevention with confidence.
Kyle Nicolas leans on his four-seam fastball (49% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the slider has come closest.
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.
allowed 20 bases vs a replacement arm's 21 over the same batters faced
Rarely used: sinker (2%)
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.559 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.535 to 0.583, based on 15 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.569 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.422 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.518 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.494 to 0.541, based on 27 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.569 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.406 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
3 BF · 3 K
2 BF · 0 K
10 BF · 0 K, 3 BB, 1 H
5 BF · 1 K, 2 H
9 BF · 2 K, 5 BB, 1 H
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.
