MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Angels @ Reds, 04/12/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 12, 2026
Angels
9
Final
Game 824533
Reds
6
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Angels
82%
· tied 7%
·
Reds
11%
Angels earned it
Angels deserved to win and did, beating Reds 9–6.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.