Nick Frasso
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Frasso is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.471 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 25th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (22nd percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
82 batters faced · data through 2026-09-18.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (30.3%)
How to read this chart
| Nick Frasso | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .647 | .528 | 25th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 63rd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 46th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Nick Frasso leans on his four-seam fastball (57% of pitches). His changeup has performed closest to league average, with a 46% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 45 bases vs a replacement arm's 43 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
6.1 bases cost vs league average, across 272 pitches — 2.2 per 100.
His cutter and slider aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Nick Frasso's pitch movement, 2026
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His cutter and slider aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.487 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.466 to 0.510, based on 49 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.435 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.445 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.423 to 0.467, based on 33 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.702 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.437 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.702) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Nick Frasso.
over 59 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
How to read this chart
ERA 7.56 · WHIP 1.74 · BABIP against 0.375 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs CardinalsSep 5, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs CardinalsAug 7, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs BravesAug 29, 2026
5 BF · 1 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs OriolesSep 2, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs GuardiansAug 22, 2026
6 BF · 0 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.0
- Above replacement
- +1.1