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Carlos Rodriguez

2026
Brewers· RHP · throws R· 9.1 IP· 3.86 ERA· 1.50 WHIP· 42 batters faced

Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
Dbetter than 38% of qualified pitchers at limiting bases
StarterStill Searching

Below league average across the board.

Rodriguez has been below average at limiting bases

The simulator expects him to allow 0.461 bases per batter faced, better than 38% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting hard contact (93rd percentile).

His grade rests on 42 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles compare him with 517 qualified pitchers, those with 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers together. He has not reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.

Reynaldo LópezBravesGriffin CanningPadresElieser HernándezBravesBennett SousaAstros

Pitcher type

This map shows what kind of pitcher he is, next to the league.

Arsenal

These cards show what he throws and what each pitch does.

Carlos Rodriguez mixes his changeup (37%) and cutter (27%). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet, and the changeup has come closest, with a 43% whiff rate against a league median of 30%.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

+3 bases better than a replacement arm this season

He allowed about 21 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 25 over the same batters faced.

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

He cost 4.1 bases against league average across 67 pitches, or 6.1 per 100 pitches.

Changeup
37%
87.7 mph · RHP median 87.1
43% whiffs · Lg median 30%
cost 6.1 per 1004.1 total
Cutter
not charted
27%
90.1 mph · RHP median 90.1
—
—
Four-Seam Fastball
not charted
27%
94.1 mph · RHP median 95.1
—
—
Sweeper
not charted
8%
82.2 mph · RHP median 83.5
—
—

Only his changeup is in the charts below, because the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

He rarely throws his curveball (1% of his pitches).

How to read this chart
Each row is a pitch he throws at least 3% of the time, from pitch tracking in the regular season. The bar is how often he throws it, then its average velocity and its whiff rate, the share of swings that miss. Beside the velocity and the whiff rate is the median for that pitch, among pitchers of his hand for velocity and across the league for whiffs. More whiffs are better for a pitcher, while usage and velocity describe how he pitches. The Bases vs average bars score each pitch against a league-average pitch in the same count, and a bar to the left (saved) is better.

By appearance

These charts follow his velocity, movement and mix from outing to outing.

These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. Only his changeup is in these charts, because the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

Platoon splits

This section splits his results against lefties and righties.

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.043 EB/PA allowed.

50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.051

vs LHB19 PA0.479

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.479 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.457 to 0.503, based on 19 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.765 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.

His raw rate vs LHB (0.765) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.

vs RHB23 PA0.436

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.436 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.413 to 0.459, based on 23 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.282 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.

His raw rate vs RHB (0.282) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.

0.4020.4300.4580.4860.514
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.

How to read this chart
  • Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
  • The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
  • The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
  • The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
  • Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page

Contact allowed

These cards show what hitters do when they make contact.

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.

Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Every ball hit off Carlos Rodriguez this season is drawn where it landed.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Kerry CarpenterHome run
98 mph · 33° · worth 3.6 bases
04/22 vs Tigers
vs Yordan AlvarezSingle
115 mph · 17° · worth 2.1 bases
05/30 vs Astros
vs Liam HicksDouble
100 mph · 13° · worth 2.0 bases
04/19 vs Marlins
vs Isaac ParedesDouble
84 mph · 19° · worth 2.0 bases
05/30 vs Astros
vs Kyle StowersSingle
98 mph · 12° · worth 1.2 bases
04/19 vs Marlins
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Best games

These are his biggest outings this season.

Best games

These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Carlos Rodriguez

Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is up, his BB% is down and his K% is down.

Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.