MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Brewers @ Marlins, 04/19/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 19, 2026
Brewers
3
Final
Game 823881
Marlins
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Brewers
23%
· tied 14%
·
Marlins
62%
Marlins earned it
Marlins deserved to win and did, beating Brewers 5–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.