Nick Davila
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Davila is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.469 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 28th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (96th percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (5th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
111 batters faced · data through 2026-08-23.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Nick Davila.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Nick Davila | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .362 | .527 | 28th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 30th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 18% | 22% | 5th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Nick Davila leans on his slider (65% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 2.7 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 42 bases vs a replacement arm's 57 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
7.7 bases saved vs league average, across 371 pitches — 2.1 per 100.
His four-seam fastball isn't in the charts below — only 46 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: sweeper (0%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his slider tilts 20 points more toward lefties.
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Nick Davila's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His four-seam fastball isn't in these charts — only 46 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.476 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.454 to 0.499, based on 65 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.440 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.459 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.436 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.414 to 0.459, based on 46 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.343 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.441 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.343) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes up the middle.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Nick Davila.
over 84 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.10 · WHIP 1.22 · BABIP against 0.232 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RaysJul 12, 2026
7 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.4
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs BrewersAug 18, 2026
9 BF · 2 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.6
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs MarlinsJul 8, 2026
6 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 1.4
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs OriolesJun 11, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs AstrosMay 13, 2026
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.2