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Chad Dallas

2026
Blue Jays· RHP · throws R· 14.1 IP· 5.02 ERA· 1.47 WHIP· 64 batters faced

Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
C+better than 52% of qualified pitchers at limiting bases
StarterStill Searching

Below league average across the board.

Dallas sits right around league average

The simulator expects him to allow 0.452 bases per batter faced, better than 52% of qualified pitchers. His weakest skill is limiting walks (17th percentile).

His grade rests on 64 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles compare him with 517 qualified pitchers, those with 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers together. He has not reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.

Grant AndersonBrewersKyle BradishOriolesJulian GarciaRedsCionel PérezMets

Pitcher type

This map shows what kind of pitcher he is, next to the league.

Arsenal

These cards show what he throws and what each pitch does.

Chad Dallas mixes his cutter (34%) and curveball (28%). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 9.5 bases per 100 thrown against league average, and his cutter runs 2.8 mph faster than the median right-handed pitcher's.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

+12 bases better than a replacement arm this season

He allowed about 25 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 38 over the same batters faced.

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

He saved 2.2 bases against league average across 232 pitches, or 0.9 per 100 pitches.

Cutter
34%
92.9 mph · RHP median 90.1
19% whiffs · Lg median 22%
saved 0.2 per 1000.2 total
Curveball
28%
84.0 mph · RHP median 81.2
—
cost 6.2 per 1004.6 total
Sweeper
27%
84.1 mph · RHP median 83.5
38% whiffs · Lg median 31%
saved 9.5 per 1006.6 total
Four-Seam Fastball
not charted
9%
93.5 mph · RHP median 95.1
—
—

His four-seam fastball isn't in the charts below, because only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.

He rarely throws his sinker (2% of his pitches).

How to read this chart
Each row is a pitch he throws at least 3% of the time, from pitch tracking in the regular season. The bar is how often he throws it, then its average velocity and its whiff rate, the share of swings that miss. Beside the velocity and the whiff rate is the median for that pitch, among pitchers of his hand for velocity and across the league for whiffs. More whiffs are better for a pitcher, while usage and velocity describe how he pitches. The Bases vs average bars score each pitch against a league-average pitch in the same count, and a bar to the left (saved) is better.

Mix by batter side

Cutter
39% vs LHH · RHP median 20%
30% vs RHH · RHP median 19%
How to read this chart
Each row shows how often he throws a pitch to left-handed hitters (LHH) and right-handed hitters (RHH), next to the median for pitchers of his hand (RHP median). Medians come from the 156 right-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time. A mix is a plan, so a higher or lower share is neither better nor worse. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

Chad Dallas's pitch movement, 2026

Chad Dallas's pitch movement, 2026-24-120-12012in← glove sidearm side →more risemore drop
CutterFC
Rise 13.3 in
+5.6 vs Lg median
Break −3.4 in
−1.3 vs Lg median
CurveballCU
Rise −14.5 in
−4.0 vs Lg median
Break −5.6 in
+3.0 vs Lg median
SweeperST
Rise −1.3 in
−2.4 vs Lg median
Break −15.8 in
−2.0 vs Lg median
Early season → nowLg medianNormal wobble around the dot
How to read this chart
Each dot is a pitch's current break in inches, averaged over his latest outings. Higher is more rise and further right is more arm-side break, and neither is better or worse. The faint trail runs from his early-season outings to the dot, and the soft halo shows how far normal noise can move it. League median is the small hollow ring, and a pitch marked * has none because too few pitchers throw it. The by-appearance chart below has the exact dates. More on the About page

By appearance

These charts follow his velocity, movement and mix from outing to outing.

These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His four-seam fastball isn't in these charts, because only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.

Platoon splits

This section splits his results against lefties and righties.

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.043 EB/PA allowed.

50% probable range: +0.035 to +0.051

vs LHB29 PA0.433

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.433 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.411 to 0.455, based on 29 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.590 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.

His raw rate vs LHB (0.590) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.

vs RHB35 PA0.391

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.391 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.369 to 0.413, based on 35 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.255 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.

His raw rate vs RHB (0.255) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.

0.3580.3850.4120.4380.465
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so even his weaker side is a strength.

How to read this chart
  • Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
  • The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
  • The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
  • The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
  • Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page

Contact allowed

These cards show what hitters do when they make contact.

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.

Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Every ball hit off Chad Dallas this season is drawn where it landed.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Gunnar HendersonHome run
107 mph · 22° · worth 3.3 bases
09/21 vs Orioles
vs Taylor TrammellHome run
113 mph · 19° · worth 3.2 bases
08/04 vs Astros
vs Jose AltuveSingle
80 mph · 10° · worth 1.1 bases
08/04 vs Astros
vs Jose TrevinoSingle
89 mph · 15° · worth 1.0 bases
09/25 vs Reds
vs Mauricio DubónSingle
93 mph · 14° · worth 0.9 bases
06/04 vs Braves

Luck check

How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Best games

These are his biggest outings this season.

Best games

These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.